At the 2025 (10th) New Energy Industry Expo - New Energy PV ESS Forum hosted by SMM Information & Technology Co., Ltd., Liang Wang, R&D Director of Ganfeng LiEnergy (Dongguan) Technology Co., Ltd., shared insights on the topic "Current Status and Trend Analysis of Industrial and Commercial ESS Development."
**Current Status**
**Overall Growth Scale**
**Global Installations in 2024**: Global new installations of industrial and commercial ESS are expected to reach 4.4 GW/10.9 GWh in 2024, indicating sustained growth in demand worldwide.
**Domestic Market Installations in 2024**: In the Chinese market, new installations are projected to be around 2.8 GW/7.5 GWh, up 53.06% YoY. The market demand is robust, supported by strong policies, with broad prospects for future development.
**Global and Chinese Market Forecast for 2025**: This year, global new installations are expected to reach 6.1 GW/15.26 GWh, while domestic new installations are forecasted at 4.8 GW/10.56 GWh. This also signals more investment and development opportunities in the coming years.
**Accelerated Digital Transformation**
1. **Wide Application of Technologies**: Technologies such as cloud computing, big data, and AI are widely adopted in enterprises. Industrial and commercial ESS is transitioning from hardware integration to software AI-driven computing.
2. **Customization and Quality Improvement**: Through software-defined approaches, more flexible functional expansion and system optimization are achieved, enabling smarter monitoring, diagnostics, and decision-making.
3. **Optimized Customer Service**: Digital transformation allows enterprises to better understand customer needs, provide personalized services, and enhance customer satisfaction and loyalty.
**Enhanced Green Development Awareness**
**Development Trends**
**Differentiated Demand on the Application Side**
1. **Energy Storage Allocation for Traditional Industrial and Commercial Enterprises**: Peak-valley arbitrage, virtual capacity management, and backup power supply.
2. **Integrated PV ESS Charging**: ESS mitigates the instantaneous high-power load of NEV charging stations, while distributed PV + ESS reduces grid electricity purchases.
3. **Microgrids and ESS**: Industrial parks aggregate PV, wind power, and ESS to optimize internal energy distribution, achieving "self-generation and self-consumption + surplus storage" for local energy autonomy.
**Deepening Service-Oriented Transformation**
1. **"Product + Service" Model**: Manufacturing enterprises no longer just provide products but shift to a "product + service" model, offering comprehensive energy services, equipment financing, operation and maintenance, and system solutions.
2. **Increased Customer Stickiness**: By providing value-added services, enterprises enhance customer stickiness. The "ESS + energy efficiency management" solution, combined with AI algorithms, optimizes electricity strategies and designs flexible "peak-valley arbitrage + demand-side response" models, improving customer satisfaction and loyalty.
3. **Innovation in Service Models**: Equipment enterprises continuously innovate service models, embedding "finance + industry" scenarios, offering "ESS equipment leasing + carbon credit trading services," and enhancing project economics through data services and remote technical support.
**Cross-Border Business Expansion**
1. **Going Global and Diversifying Scenarios**: With the rapid development of domestic industrial and commercial sectors, overseas users are shifting from home storage to high-voltage and industrial-commercial ESS. The long certification cycle for going global requires enterprises to plan early, leveraging global resources to build production and sales networks.
2. **Risks of Cross-Border Operations**: Cross-border expansion brings risks such as cultural differences and varying legal environments. Enterprises need to manage risks and address post-sales operation, maintenance, and local staff training.
3. **Opportunities for Global Collaboration**: Enterprises going global should focus on "localization," combining digital tools, compliant operations, and resource integration to expand from single-point breakthroughs to regional depth, ultimately achieving brand globalization.
**Integrated Development of Virtual Power Plants**
1. **5G + AI + IoT Collaboration**: 5G enables real-time control of distributed resources, while AI optimizes resource scheduling strategies, improving response speed and accuracy. Edge gateway technology facilitates rapid data exchange.
2. **Deep Coupling with Microgrids**: Virtual power plants act as the "brain" of microgrids, coordinating distributed energy and local loads to promote zero-carbon park construction.
3. **Integrated Generation-Grid-Load-Storage**: Aggregating distributed PV, ESS, charging piles, and air conditioning loads forms a "generation-storage-consumption" closed loop, enabling local green electricity consumption and peak shaving.
**Challenges**
**Intensified Market Competition**
1. **Surge and Rapid Exit of Enterprises**: Over 50,000 new industrial and commercial enterprises emerged in 2023, but 40% exited by the end of 2024. Rising technical barriers and financial pressures accelerate industry consolidation, with top-tier enterprises gaining advantages through scale and intelligence.
2. **Channel Resource Competition**: Industrial and commercial ESS projects are highly decentralized, relying on localized deployment. Intermediaries play a key role, with some route fees rising to 0.2 yuan/Wh, accounting for 30% of product costs, intensifying market competition.
3. **Price War Escalation**: Low technical barriers in system integration lead to price wars, with some enterprises even offering loss-making bids, severely compressing industry profit margins.
**Policy Regional Differentiation and Innovation**
After shifting from policy-driven to market-driven, enterprises must compete on technology, cost control, and operational capabilities.
**Business Model Innovation (Profit Diversification, Asset-Light Operations)**
1. **Energy Performance Contracting (EMC)**: Energy service providers invest in construction and share revenue with owners at a certain ratio, offering zero investment and low risk for owners. This is currently the mainstream model.
2. **Leasing Model**: Owners lease ESS equipment, paying fixed rents, with profits going to the owners.
3. **Owner Investment Model**: Owners purchase equipment outright, retaining all profits, suitable for well-funded enterprises.
4. **Financial Leasing + EMC**: Introducing financial institutions reduces initial investment pressure, suitable for large-scale projects.
**Click to view the special report on the 2025 (10th) New Energy Industry Expo.**